Republican Bob Steinburg Holds Lead in NC House 1 Contest

Unified support within the Republican Party, along with crossover voters, builds a 15-point ballot advantage.

RALEIGH – A Strategic Insights Survey of 300 general election voters show Republican Bob Steinburg leading his opponent, Democrat Bill Luton, 49.3% to 33.7%.   Republican voters are united with 86.1% support for Steinburg, 7.6% for Luton and the remaining 6.3% still undecided.  However, Luton is pulling only 58.3% of Democrats with Steinburg garnering an impressive 25.2%.  16.5% remain undecided.

Unaffiliated voters are breaking more than two-to-one for Steinburg, with 51.1% preferring the Republican to just 22.3% for Luton.  26.6% remain undecided.

On the Presidential ballot, Mitt Romney leads President Obama 58% to 34.7% with Libertarian Gary Johnson pulling 3%.  4.3% of voters remain undecided.   Romney posts good numbers among Democrats with 33.9% stating their preference for the Republican to just 57.5% of Democrats voting for the President.    Republicans are united, with 89.9% supporting Romney to just 5.1% for the President.  Meanwhile, Republican support for Johnson stands at only 1.3% and 3.8% say they remain undecided.

In the race for Governor, Pat McCrory is leading Lt. Governor Walter Dalton 50.3% to 31.3%.  Libertarian candidate Barbara Howe is pulling 5.7% of the vote and 12.7% of voters state they are undecided.  As in other contests we have surveyed, McCrory is gathering strong Democratic support, with 25.2% preferring the Republican to 55.1% for Dalton.

Only 30.7% of voters say the economy will improve this year, while 27.3% say it will get worse.   Meanwhile, 31% say it will stay about the same and 11% are not sure.

For a complete set of the survey crosstabs and topline summary, click on the links at the top of the page.

About the Strategic Insights Survey

The Strategic Insights Survey is a survey of 300 North Carolina voters living in the 1st NC House District with a margin of error of +/- 5.77%.  The survey is the project of Strategic Partners Solutions and is conducted by Paul Shumaker and Dee Stewart, two well-know Republican consultants to numerous state and federal candidates. This survey was conducted on October 8, 2012 through an automated phone system.  Phone surveys are a snapshot of voters’ opinions and are subject to other factors that may influence the margin of error not present in personal interviews surveys.  However, they are an effective measure of public opinion and provide valuable insight into the opinions of all voters.

The Strategic Insights Survey is designed to provide insight into the opinions of voters on federal, state and local issues facing North Carolina.  The surveys are conducted by an automated phone system using a random sample generated by a file of North Carolina voters.   The survey is a snapshot of voters’ opinion on the key issues of the day.  It is important to remember that public opinion is fluid and is subject to change over time.  Polls are not predictors of the future.  They are a reflection of opinion based upon the current set of information available in the public arena at a given point in time.