Republican Ross Has Comfortable 16% Lead in House District 63

Open Seat Will Be Gain for Republicans

In the most recent Strategic Insights Survey of 300 general election voters in House District 63, Republican Stephen Ross leads Democrat Patty Phillips, 51% to 35% with 14% undecided.

The Republican, Ross, is receiving 83.9% of his party’s support to 8.6% for the Democrat, Phillips.  By contrast, Phillips is receiving just 60.3% Democrat support to 26.5% support for Ross.  Unaffiliated voters are supporting Ross by more than a two to one margin, 54.9% to 21.1% for Phillips.  13.2% of Democrats, 7.5% of Republicans and 23.9% are undecided.

In the presidential race, Romney leads Obama 55.3% to 40%.  Libertarian Gary Johnson has 2.3% support with 2.3% undecided.  Republicans are unified behind Romney, 92.5% to 5.4% for Obama.  Democrats are supporting Obama 70.6% to 27.2%.

Pat McCrory is winning this district 53% to 35.7% for Dalton.  Libertarian Barbara Howe is receiving 6.3% with 5% undecided.  86% of Republicans are supporting McCrory to 5.4% for Dalton.  Democrats are backing their nominee Dalton 63.2% to 27.9% for McCrory.  Unaffiliated voters are supporting Republican McCrory 57.7% to 22.5% for Dalton.

35.7% of voters believe the economy will improve this year, 22.3% say it will get worse, and 29.7% say it will stay about the same.

For a complete set of the survey topline and crosstabs summary, please click on the links at the top of the page.

About the Strategic Insights Survey

The Strategic Insights Survey is a survey of 300 North Carolina voters living in the NC House District 63 with a margin of error of +/- 5.77%.  The survey is the project of Strategic Partners Solutions and is conducted by Paul Shumaker and Dee Stewart, two well-known Republican consultants to numerous state and federal candidates. This survey was conducted on October 24, 2012 through an automated phone system.  Phone surveys are a snapshot of voters’ opinions and are subject to other factors that may influence the margin of error not present in personal interviews surveys.  However, they are an effective measure of public opinion and provide valuable insight into the opinions of all voters.

The Strategic Insights Survey is designed to provide insight into the opinions of voters on federal, state and local issues facing North Carolina.  The surveys are conducted by an automated phone system using a random sample generated by a file of North Carolina voters.   The survey is a snapshot of voters’ opinion on the key issues of the day.  It is important to remember that public opinion is fluid and is subject to change over time.  Polls are not predictors of the future.  They are a reflection of opinion based upon the current set of information available in the public arena at a given point in time.