John Szoka (R) Holds Strong Lead Over Eddie Dees (D) in NC House 45

 Szoka’s 15.3 % ballot advantage will be tough for Dees to overcome in open-seat contest.

RALEIGH – The most recent Strategic Insights Survey shows Republican John Szoka leading his Democratic opponent Eddie Dees 46% to 30.7% with 23.3% of the voters being undecided.

The poll also reveals that more voters have a favorable impression of Republican Szoka.  22.3% of voters having a favorable impression of Szoka to 12.7% unfavorable.  Dees image numbers were 17% favorable, 18% unfavorable.

Both candidates are relatively undefined with 65% of voters have no opinion or have never heard of John Szoka and 65% of voters as well having no opinion or having never heard of Eddie Dees.

Given the low image numbers, undecided voters are up for grabs in the race with 87.2% having no opinion or have never heard of Eddie Dees and 91.4% having no opinion or have never heard of John Szoka.   On the generic ballot test, 34.3% of undecided voters favored a Democratic candidate for the state legislature to 31.4% who favored a Republican candidate, while 34.3% of undecided voters were not sure.

Both Republican candidates Mitt Romney and Pat McCrory posted a strong ballot showing with Romney leading President Obama 58% to 35% with 7 % undecided.  Republican gubernatorial nominee Pat McCrory leads Democratic Lt. Governor Walter Dalton 51.7% to 25.3% with 13.7% of the voters undecided.   The undecided voters will most likely break for McCrory with 36.6% favoring a Republican for state legislature and 26.8% favoring a Democratic candidate.

The generic ballot test question on the state legislature shows a 19% point advantage for Republicans with 53.7% of voters stating a preference for a Republican candidate and 34.7% preferring a Democratic candidate.  With a strong showing at the top of the ticket for the Republican candidates it will be extremely difficult for Dees to overcome this political climate in House District 45.

Over half of the voters thought the state is headed in the wrong direction 55.0% to 29.0% right direction.  In addition, voters are not optimistic about the economy improving with 23% saying it would get worse, 32.30% said it would stay the same while only 36.7% said it would improve.

For a complete set of the survey crosstabs and topline summary, click on the links at the top of the page.

About the Strategic Insights Survey

The Strategic Insights Survey is a survey of 300 North Carolina voters living in the 45th NC House District with a margin of error of +/- 5.66%.  The survey is the project of Strategic Partners Solutions and is conducted by Paul Shumaker and Dee Stewart, two well-know Republican consultants to numerous state and federal candidates. This survey was conducted on August 20-21, 2012 through an automated phone system.  Phone surveys are a snapshot of voters’ opinions and are subject to other factors that may influence the margin of error not present in personal interviews surveys.  However, they are an effective measure of public opinion and provide valuable insight into the opinions of all voters.

The Strategic Insights Survey is designed to provide insight into the opinions of voters on federal, state and local issues facing North Carolina.  The surveys are conducted by an automated phone system using a random sample generated by a file of North Carolina voters.   The survey is a snapshot of voters’ opinion on the key issues of the day.  It is important to remember that public opinion is fluid and is subject to change over time.  Polls are not predictors of the future.  They are a reflection of opinion based upon the current set of information available in the public arena at a given point in time.