Incumbent Republican Jeff Collins holds commanding lead over Democratic Challenger Jan Mills

Strong support across Party lines leads to 30-point ballot advantage. 

In the most recent Strategic Insights Survey of 300 general election voters in State House District 25, incumbent Republican Jeff Collins is leading Democrat Jan Mills 56.3% to 26.7% with 17.0% undecided.   With Election Day less than six weeks away, this race appears to be all but over.

Republicans are voting for Collins 86.2% to just 3.7% for Mills while Democrats are voting just 52.4% for Mills to 29.4% for Collins.   Collins’ support among Democratic voters is among the strongest we have seen for a Republican state legislative candidate.   The freshman incumbent is also pulling 58.5% of Unaffiliated voters to 15.4% for Mills.  10.1% of Republicans remain undecided, compared to 18.3 % for Democrats and 26.2% for Unaffiliated voters.

On the Presidential ballot, Mitt Romney leads President Obama 63.3% to 32.7% with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling 1.3% and only 2.7% of voters stating they were undecided.   Romney posts good numbers with Democratic voters, with 35.7% stating their preference for the Republican and 57.9% of Democrats voting for the President.

Pat McCrory leads Lt. Governor Walter Dalton 60.3% to 29.0%, with Libertarian Barbara Howe pulling 2.0% of the vote and 8.7% of the vote still undecided.  As with the other races, one-third (33.3%) of the Democrats are supporting the Republican McCrory to just 53.2% who are supporting their Party’s nominee, Walter Dalton.

Only 29.3% of voters say the economy will improve this year, while 35.3% say it will get worse and 30.3% believe it will stay about the same.

For a complete set of the survey crosstabs and topline summary, click on the links at the top of the page.

About the Strategic Insights Survey

The Strategic Insights Survey is a survey of 300 North Carolina voters living in the 25th NC House District with a margin of error of +/- 5.77%.  The survey is the project of Strategic Partners Solutions and is conducted by Paul Shumaker and Dee Stewart, two well-know Republican consultants to numerous state and federal candidates. This survey was conducted on September 17, 2012, through an automated phone system.  Phone surveys are a snapshot of voters’ opinions and are subject to other factors that may influence the margin of error not present in personal interviews surveys.  However, they are an effective measure of public opinion and provide valuable insight into the opinions of all voters.

The Strategic Insights Survey is designed to provide insight into the opinions of voters on federal, state and local issues facing North Carolina.  The surveys are conducted by an automated phone system using a random sample generated by a file of North Carolina voters.   The survey is a snapshot of voters’ opinion on the key issues of the day.  It is important to remember that public opinion is fluid and is subject to change over time.  Polls are not predictors of the future.  They are a reflection of opinion based upon the current set of information available in the public arena at a given point in time.