Incumbent Rick Glazier Holds Lead in Reelection Bid

Glazier leads Republican Richard Button by 9.3% in NCHD-44

In the most recent Strategic Insights Survey of 300 general election voters in North Carolina State House District 44, Democrat incumbent Rick Glazier has a solid lead over Republican challenger Richard Button, 47.3% to 38% with 14.7% undecided.

76.1% of Democrats support Glazier to16.7% support for Button.  52.6% of Republicans support Button to just 6.3% for Glazier.  Unaffiliated voters are supporting Button 30.7% to 17.6% for Glazier.

However, the undecided vote will most likely split between the two candidates giving the advantage to Representative Glazier.   Undecided voters in the State House contest are splitting 38.6% o 38.6% on the Presidential ballot and they give a 4.5% advantage to a Democratic candidate on the generic ballot test, 40.9% to 36.4%.  While they give a slight advantage to McCrory on the Gubernatorial ballot, that advantage is counter to the voting tendency of the overall group of undecided voters in the legislative contest.

In the presidential race, Governor Romney and President Obama are virtually tied, 48% Romney to 47% Obama. Libertarian Gary Johnson has 2.7% with just 2.3% undecided.  89.6% of Republicans support Romney compared to just 7.8% for President Obama. By contrast, 75.5% of Democrats support the President to 19.6% for Romney.   Unaffiliated voters are supporting Romney 58.8% to 33.8% for President Obama.

In the Governor’s race, Pat McCrory leads Walter Dalton 48% to 40.3%.  Libertarian Barbara Howe is receiving 6.3% and 5.3% remains undecided.  McCrory posts impressive crossover support with 85.7% Republicans, 23.6% Democrats, and 55.0% of Unaffiliated voters backing the Republican.  Dalton has 65.0% of Democrats, 9.1% of Republicans and 26.3% of unaffiliated voters supporting him.

In this district, 41.3% said the economy would improve, 22.7% said it would get worse and 26.7% said it would stay the same.

For a complete set of the survey’s topline and crosstab summary, click on the links at the top of the page.

About the Strategic Insights Survey

The Strategic Insights Survey is a survey of 300 North Carolina voters living in the 44th NC House District with a margin of error of +/- 5.77%.  The survey is the project of Strategic Partners Solutions and is conducted by Paul Shumaker and Dee Stewart, two well-known Republican consultants to numerous state and federal candidates. This survey was conducted on October 23-24, 2012 through an automated phone system.  Phone surveys are a snapshot of voters’ opinions and are subject to other factors that may influence the margin of error not present in personal interviews surveys.  However, they are an effective measure of public opinion and provide valuable insight into the opinions of all voters.

The Strategic Insights Survey is designed to provide insight into the opinions of voters on federal, state and local issues facing North Carolina.  The surveys are conducted by an automated phone system using a random sample generated by a file of North Carolina voters.   The survey is a snapshot of voters’ opinion on the key issues of the day.  It is important to remember that public opinion is fluid and is subject to change over time.  Polls are not predictors of the future.  They are a reflection of opinion based upon the current set of information available in the public arena at a given point in time.