Martin Clear Favorite in House District 8

Martin Has 14.7% Advantage Over Democratic Opponent

In a Strategic Insights Survey of 300 general election voters, Republican Susan Martin leads Democrat Mark Bibbs 51% to 36.3% with 12.7% undecided.

Republicans overwhelmingly support their nominee, with 90.6% supporting Martin, compared to only 62.3% Democratic support for Bibbs.  Martin is also supported by 23.8% of Democrats, compared to just 4.7% of Republican support for Bibbs.  Unaffiliated voters back Martin 62.5% to 17.5% for Democrat Bibbs.

In the generic ballot test, voters favor the Republican, 48.7% to 41.7% for the Democrat with 9.7% undecided.

Governor Mitt Romney is leading President Obama 52.7% to 43%.  Libertarian Gary Johnson is receiving 1.3%, with only 3% undecided in the presidential race.  Republicans are united behind Romney, 95.3% to just 4.7% supporting the President.   By contrast, Democrats are backing the President with 70.9% to a surprising 25.8% crossover support for the Republican Romney.

In the gubernatorial race, Pat McCrory should carry this district.  Currently, he is winning comfortably 55% to 37.5%, with Libertarian Barbara Howe at 1.7%.  Only 6% of voters remain undecided.  Democrats show divided support, with 64.9% for Dalton and 30.5% for McCrory.  By contrast, Republicans are behind McCrory 91.8% to just 5.9% for Dalton.  Unaffiliated voters support McCrory 64.1% to 14.1% for Dalton.

Interestingly, 40.7% of voters believe the economy will improve, 24.3% believe the economy will get worse and 29% believe the economy will stay about the same.

About the Strategic Insights Survey

The Strategic Insights Survey is a survey of 300 North Carolina voters living in the 8th NC House District with a margin of error of +/- 5.77%.  The survey is the project of Strategic Partners Solutions and is conducted by Paul Shumaker and Dee Stewart, two well-known Republican consultants to numerous state and federal candidates. This survey was conducted on October 21, 2012 through an automated phone system.  Phone surveys are a snapshot of voters’ opinions and are subject to other factors that may influence the margin of error not present in personal interviews surveys.  However, they are an effective measure of public opinion and provide valuable insight into the opinions of all voters.

The Strategic Insights Survey is designed to provide insight into the opinions of voters on federal, state and local issues facing North Carolina.  The surveys are conducted by an automated phone system using a random sample generated by a file of North Carolina voters.   The survey is a snapshot of voters’ opinion on the key issues of the day.  It is important to remember that public opinion is fluid and is subject to change over time.  Polls are not predictors of the future.  They are a reflection of opinion based upon the current set of information available in the public arena at a given point in time.